Middleby Releases Updated Q2 and FY2021 Management Forecast; Reiterates Conviction Behind Superiority of Agreed Transaction With Welbilt
($ in millions) |
Metric |
Q2 2021E |
FY2021E |
Current Middleby Management Forecast |
Revenue |
|
|
Adj. EBITDA |
|
|
|
Current Consensus Estimates |
Revenue |
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|
Adj. EBITDA |
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Source:
In addition to our forecast being ahead of our previously disclosed fiscal year 2021 Revenue and Adj. EBITDA estimates, we also expect to exceed the Welbilt view of our fiscal year 2022 and 2023 projections included in our Definitive Proxy Statement. Such projections called for Revenue and Adj. EBITDA (when excluding stock-based compensation) of
All three of our operating segments have posted strong organic growth in Q2 orders when compared to the pre-Covid levels of Q2 2019, as shown in the table below. In addition, we expect our backlog to reach a record level exceeding
Operating Segment |
Q2 2021E Orders Compared to Q2 2019A* |
Commercial Foodservice |
up 30% |
|
up 50% |
Food Processing |
up 50% |
|
up 37% |
* Figures are preliminary estimates as of 7/5/2021.
Middleby Reiterates Conviction Behind Deal with Welbilt
Middleby believes its signed, definitive agreement provides Welbilt shareholders with a superior value proposition. Commentary on the transaction from our equity research analysts has been overwhelmingly positive. In addition, based on our strong performance and improved outlook, they have raised their standalone price targets for Middleby’s stock to an average of
Broker |
Rating |
Middleby Price Target |
Implied Welbilt Offer Price
|
BMO |
Buy |
|
|
Jefferies |
Buy |
|
|
Seaport Global |
Buy |
|
|
Baird |
Outperform |
|
|
CL King |
Overweight |
|
|
KeyBanc |
Overweight |
|
|
Citi |
Buy |
|
|
Barclays |
Overweight |
|
|
J.P. Morgan |
Neutral |
|
|
Average |
|
|
|
Source:
Our consideration mix allows Welbilt’s shareholders to participate in the future benefits of the combination. Through our ongoing work, we have a high level of confidence in our ability to meet or exceed the
There are a few transaction points that highlight the superior qualities of our offer:
- Our proposed merger will be tax-free to Welbilt’s shareholders
- We have almost two and a half months of engagement with regulatory authorities and have made significant progress towards completing the transaction
- Our transaction has no financing requirement
-
The Definitive Proxy Statement was declared effective on
June 11 th and the shareholder vote for Middleby and Welbilt is onJuly 21 st, 2021
Advisors
About Middleby
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Forward-Looking Statements
This communication contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Some of these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “approximately,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “projects,” “strategy,” or “anticipates,” or the negative of those words or other comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements, including those regarding the timing and consummation of the transactions described herein, involve risks and uncertainties which could cause Middleby’s actual results, performance or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. The accuracy of such statements is subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions including, but not limited to, risks related to Middleby’s proposed acquisition of Welbilt, including the risk that the conditions to the closing of the transaction are not satisfied, including the risk that required approvals of the transaction from the stockholders of Middleby or Welbilt or from regulators are not obtained; litigation relating to the transaction; uncertainties as to the timing of the consummation of the transaction and the ability of each party to consummate the transaction; risks that the proposed transaction disrupts the current plans or operations of Middleby or Welbilt; the ability of Middleby and Welbilt to retain and hire key personnel; competitive responses to the proposed transaction; unexpected costs, charges or expenses resulting from the transaction; potential adverse reactions or changes to relationships with customers, suppliers, distributors and other business partners resulting from the announcement or completion of the transaction; the combined company’s ability to achieve the synergies expected from the transaction, as well as delays, challenges and expenses associated with integrating the combined company’s existing businesses; the impact of COVID-19 or other public health crises and any related company or government policies and actions to protect the health and safety of individuals or government policies or actions to maintain the functioning of national or global economies and markets; and legislative, regulatory and economic developments. Other factors that might cause such a difference include those discussed in Middleby’s filings with the
Non-GAAP Measures
Adjusted EBITDA (the “Non-GAAP Measure”) is a performance measure that provides supplemental information that Middleby believes is useful to analysts and investors to evaluate ongoing results of operations, when considered alongside other GAAP measures such as net income, operating income and gross profit. This Non-GAAP Measure excludes the financial impact of items management does not consider in assessing the ongoing operating performance of Middleby and thereby facilitates review of its operating performance on a period-to-period basis. Other companies may have different capital structures and comparability to the results of operations of Middleby, which may be impacted by the effects of acquisition accounting on its depreciation and amortization. As a result of the effects of these factors and factors specific to other companies, Middleby believes this Non-GAAP Measure provides helpful information to analysts and investors to facilitate a comparison of its operating performance to that of other companies. The presentation of a Non-GAAP Measure in this press release should not be construed as an inference that future results will be unaffected by unusual or non-recurring items.
Additional Information about the Merger and Where to Find It
In connection with the proposed transaction, Middleby has filed with the
No Offer or Solicitation
This communication is not intended to and shall not constitute an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities, or a solicitation of any vote or approval, nor shall there be any sale of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. No offering of securities shall be made, except by means of a prospectus meeting the requirements of Section 10 of the Securities Act.
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